Predictive Intelligence
Prospective Validation Registry
Predictions recorded before the independent outcome was known — hashed, timestamped outside our control, and never edited afterwards.
Only sealed cases appear here. Candidates under consideration stay internal until they are sealed, so this page can never fill up with predictions that were never committed to. Successful, failed, partial and ungradeable cases all remain permanently visible. A register that only kept its winners would measure nothing at all.
Linka
What the pending assays of drillhole LKRC0003 and the remaining unassayed holes will report. Fifteen of sixteen holes were at the laboratory when this was sealed.
Linka
Whether the base of the volcanic cover sits at a constant elevation near 1771.2 m rather than at a constant depth below today's surface. Cover geometry only — no mineralisation is predicted.
Ungradeable is a real outcome, not an escape hatch. If a laboratory never reports an element we predicted, that call cannot be scored either way — and it is marked so, rather than quietly counted as a hit.
Preregistered attempts
Cases that were preregistered and analysed but did not pass their own frozen gates. They are never sealed and never scored, and they do not appear in any of the counts above. They are published so that it is visible that not every analysis becomes a prediction.
Linka
Insufficient discriminatory evidence under its frozen gates. No defensible negative control could be placed, and its one spatial call was reproducible by simply measuring distance to known workings.
This reduces cherry-picking at the last step, but it does not eliminate selection before a case is preregistered. An asset looked at briefly and never registered leaves no trace here.
How a prediction is registered
Freeze the evidence
Every document is dated and hashed, with a stated cutoff. Anything published after it is excluded, and the exclusion is logged.
Predict offline
The predictor reads only that corpus. No internet, no search. It cannot look up the answer because it has no way to reach it.
Seal and timestamp
The prediction is hashed, published encrypted, and its hash submitted to an independent timestamping service we do not control.
Score in public
When the independent result lands, the key is released, the prediction is scored against criteria fixed in advance, and the entry closes — win or lose.
Four layers, four different objections
Each layer exists because of a specific way someone could reasonably doubt this:
This site
The prediction is legible to a person, not just a hash.
SHA-256
A single changed character produces a different hash. A softened word cannot be slipped in later.
Encrypted copy
The full prediction is published encrypted before the independent outcome exists. It cannot have been written afterwards to fit.
Independent timestamp
The hash is submitted to an independent third-party timestamping service on the day of sealing. We do not operate it and cannot move the date it recorded.
What this does not claim
This registry does not claim that GeaSpirit discovered or independently verified any deposit. Drilling, sampling and laboratory assays are carried out by independent operators and laboratories at their own expense. What the registry tests is narrower and checkable: whether GeaSpirit can predict future independent observations before they become known.
A single case cannot establish predictive performance. Performance claims require a sufficiently large series of independently resolved cases, evaluated under scoring rules declared in advance and against relevant baselines. Evidential strength grows as resolved cases accumulate — there is no universal threshold at which it switches on, and we will not invent one. Until a series exists, this page records what was claimed and when, and nothing more.
Every prediction is checked against deliberately obvious rules, such as “expect whatever the mine historically produced”. Where GeaSpirit does not beat those, the entry says so in its own words rather than waiting for someone else to notice.
Questions about the register: contact us.